Is Huobi Token Megaphone Pattern Bullish or Bearish?
Over the past 3.5 months, Huobi Token (HT) has been developing a megaphone pattern, also known as the broadening pattern. The pattern is neither bullish nor bearish, but it hints at a period of heightened volatility as long as HT's price remains trapped inside the megaphone support and resistance levels.
HT Megaphone Pattern
The megaphone pattern can be recognized by successive higher highs and lower lows. On the price chart, this pattern is visible by two diverging trendlines. Usually, the pattern marks a period of high volatility with no clear market direction.
HT's price is testing the upper resistance trendline of the megaphone pattern around the $7.10 level.
What is the Megaphone Pattern?
The Megaphone Pattern is a technical analysis charting pattern that is used to predict bullish or bearish price movements.
The pattern is created by drawing a trendline between two high points and two low points, and then extending the trendlines outwards.
The resulting shape resembles a megaphone, hence the name. The Megaphone Pattern is considered to be a bullish signal when it forms during an uptrend, and a bearish signal when it forms during a downtrend.
The theory behind the pattern is that it takes increasing amounts of buying (or selling) pressure to move the price from the lows to the highs, and vice versa. Therefore, when the price creates new highs and lows outside of the trendline boundaries, it is seen as a sign of increasing momentum in that direction.
RSI Oscillator
After the recent sharp rally, HT's price is greatly overbought. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached its highest reading of 84 since February 2021.
Fears of the rally losing momentum are justified, as other technical factors are calling for a pause.
Aside from being at extreme overbought levels, HT's price is also battling the key 200-day simple moving average.
200-Day Simple Moving Average
While we broke above the 200-day simple moving average, it remains to be seen how this plays out within the megaphone pattern.
For a fundamental shift in the market sentiment, we need multiple daily closes above the 200-day SMA.
The current daily candle already shows signs of rejection at the megaphone resistance trendline, which may be another sign that, in the short term, the bullish momentum is running out of steam.
Looking forward: To the downside, the first support area is the $5.00 big psychological level. A daily break and close below $5.00 will eventually open the door for a retest of the lower support trendline.
